Engines of Our Ingenuity - The Engines of Our Ingenuity 1492: Necessity in the Siege of Paris
More or Less - RCP 8.5: Why did the climate change model get it wrong?
Whether we like it or not, global warming is happening. The global temperature has already gone up, and it’s going to go up more, because the atmosphere is already full of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases, and we’re continuing to add to that stock. Quite how much it will increase by is a very important question for all of us. Until relatively recently, during much of the 2010s and into the 2020s, many scientists claimed that if we kept on going down the path we were on, if we just kept on with business as usual, then by the end of the century global temperatures would increase by almost five degrees centigrade. This projection was based on something called RCP 8.5, a statistical scenario used by scientists to model the future of the climate. You can still find scientific papers published in 2025 that make the same claim. However, there’s a good case that RCP 8.5 should never have been used as the business-as-usual scenario. And in hindsight it doesn’t look like an accurate vision of the future at all. So what’s going on? Dr Zeke Hausfather, a climate scientist and the climate research lead at Stripe, explains the argument. Presenter: Tim Harford Series producer: Tom Colls Sound mix: Donald MacDonald Editor: Richard Vadon
The World in Brief from The Economist - Trump announces Thai-Cambodian truce; EU indefinitely freezes Russian assets, and more
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Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova - What’s In Store With Self-Driving Cars
Nate has ridden in a Waymo, and it was like stepping into the future. Maria’s never been in one, but she’s been stuck behind a lot of autonomous vehicles… They swap human-driven car horror stories and discuss some of the risks and benefits of a future full of self-driving cars.
From the New York Times: The Data on Self-Driving Cars Is Clear. We Have to Change Course.
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The Leap from Maria Konnikova
Silver Bulletin from Nate Silver
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All of this week's episodes of It Could Happen Here put together in one large file.
- Arab Israeli Peace and New Visions for Gaza feat. Dana El Kurd
- Oops All Gambling, Political Betting Joins the News
- Natalism feat. Andrew
- The Insurrectionist Running to Replace Nancy Mace
- Executive Disorder: White House Weekly #45
You can now listen to all Cool Zone Media shows, 100% ad-free through the Cooler Zone Media subscription, available exclusively on Apple Podcasts. So, open your Apple Podcasts app, search for “Cooler Zone Media” and subscribe today!
Sources/Links:
Arab Israeli Peace and New Visions for Gaza feat. Dana El Kurd
Bad Cousins - https://badcousins.show/
GREAT Trust Plan - https://www.washingtonpost.com/documents/f86dd56a-de7f-4943-af4a-84819111b727.pdf
A Plan to Rebuild Gaza Lists Nearly 30 Companies. Many Say They’re Not Involved - https://www.wired.com/story/a-plan-to-rebuild-gaza-lists-nearly-30-companies-many-say-theyre-not-involved/
Paradox of Peace - https://academic.oup.com/isagsq/article/3/3/ksad042/7280243
Oops All Gambling, Political Betting Joins the News
https://news.kalshi.com/p/kalshi-cnn-prediction-market-partnership
https://www.businessinsider.com/kalshi-cnbc-deal-cnn-data-integration-partnership-2025-12
https://x.com/Kalshi/status/1996233186251075862?s=20
https://illinoislawreview.org/wp-content/ilr-content/articles/2008/3/Cherry.pdf
https://www.axios.com/2025/11/20/time-galactic-prediction-market
https://dune.com/datadashboards/prediction-markets
https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/SpeechesTestimony/behnamstatement051024
https://edition.cnn.com/2024/10/02/business/appeals-court-allows-kalshi-election-betting/index.html
https://www.datawallet.com/crypto/polymarket-restricted-countries
https://dune.com/rchen8/polymarket
https://blog.uma.xyz/articles/unpacking-polymarkets-meteoric-rise-in-numbers
https://www.forbes.com/sites/boazsobrado/2025/12/04/alleged-insider-nets-1-million-on-polymarket-in-24-hours/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zcPwUiMPj6w
https://news.kalshi.com/p/zohran-mamdani-cites-kalshi-election-odds
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/polls/tennessee-us-house-7-special-election-polls-2025.html
https://www.natesilver.net/p/sbsq-26-do-prediction-markets-make
https://www.axios.com/2024/07/16/nate-silver-polymarket
https://www.legalsportsreport.com/sports-betting-states/
https://x.com/Polymarket/status/1996978855538823522?s=20
Natalism feat. Andrew
https://iep.utm.edu/anti-natalism/
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/mar/11/what-is-pronatalism-right-wing-republican
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/40660745/
The Insurrectionist Running to Replace Nancy Mace
https://www.justice.gov/usao-dc/pr/south-carolina-man-sentenced-assaulting-law-enforcement-during-jan-6-capitol-breach-0
https://www.postandcourier.com/beaufort-county/politics/tyler-dykes-campaign-sc1-congress/article_c255115c-45cf-430e-b4a4-160a322631e1.html
https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/67681795/united-states-v-dykes/
https://atlantaantifa.org/2023/04/19/inside-southern-sons-active-club-part-i/
https://atlantaantifa.org/2023/04/19/inside-southern-sons-active-club-part-ii/
Executive Disorder: White House Weekly #45
https://www.cnn.com/2025/12/09/politics/georgia-democrat-eric-gisler
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/5641420-democrats-gain-momentum-miami/?utm_social_handle_id=1917731&utm_social_post_id=619113438
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/justice-department/pipe-bomb-suspect-told-fbi-believed-2020-election-conspiracy-theories-rcna247544
https://www.fanfiction.net/s/7869373/1/Return-to-Sunny-Town
See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
array(3) { [0]=> string(150) "https://www.omnycontent.com/d/programs/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/78d30acb-8463-4c40-a5ae-ae2d0145c9ff/image.jpg?t=1751824393&size=Large" [1]=> string(10) "image/jpeg" [2]=> int(0) }Global News Podcast - Democrats release photos of Trump from Epstein estate
Republicans accuse the Democrats of playing politics with release of photos from the estate of late sex offender, Jeffrey Epstein, that feature rich and powerful people, including Donald Trump. Also: Thailand attacks what Cambodia describes as civilian facilities near their shared border; Iranian security forces use violence to detain Nobel Peace Prize winner, Narges Mohammadi; the curtain is about to come down on John Cena, one of the most celebrated wrestlers from the world of Sports Entertainment and analysis shows pop song lyrics are getting sadder.
The Global News Podcast brings you the breaking news you need to hear, as it happens. Listen for the latest headlines and current affairs from around the world. Politics, economics, climate, business, technology, health – we cover it all with expert analysis and insight.
Get the news that matters, delivered twice a day on weekdays and daily at weekends, plus special bonus episodes reacting to urgent breaking stories. Follow or subscribe now and never miss a moment.
Get in touch: globalpodcast@bbc.co.uk
The Goods from the Woods - Episode #505 – “Float the Moat” with Dave Yates
In this episode, the Goods from the Woods Boys are hangin' at Disgraceland Studios with our ol' buddy, comedian Dave Yates! We try out an energy drink made by a VERY intense ex-Marine and podcaster named "Jocko". Then, we talk about the life and recent Congressional ambitions of Vince Offer aka "The Shamwow Guy". We chat about our favorite concert experiences of 2025 and Black Shelton and Trace Adkins' "Hillbilly Bone" is our JAM OF THE WEEK! Tune in now, y'all. Follow Dave on all forms of social media @YatesComedy and buy a bottle of Ha Ha Hot Sauce here: https://www.hahahotsauce.com Music at the end is "Christmas in My Coffin" by Nobody's Peach.
CBS News Roundup - 12/12/2025 | World News Roundup Late Edition
Despite the historic flooding in Washington state, the governor says that so far there have been no reports of fatalities. Congressional Democrats released more than a dozen photos of Jeffrey Epstein with prominent personalities from a trove of thousands of images. Nobel Peace Prize winner -- and Venezuelan opposition leader -- Maria Corina Machado speaks exclusively with CBS News.
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Marketplace All-in-One - Floridians feel the impacts of climate change
Florida is a state that often feels tangible impacts of climate change, with strong storms and hurricanes making landfall in the state every hurricane season. However, this year is the first time in a decade that the Sunshine State was spared from experiencing a single hurricane. Jessica Meszaros, a climate change reporter at WUSF, joins Kimberly to explain how Floridians are rebuilding a year after hurricanes Debby, Helene and Milton hit the state. Plus, we’ll play a round of Half Full/Half Empty!
Here’s what we talked about on the show today:
- “Florida and the U.S. were spared of hurricanes in 2025, but storms are still rapidly intensifying” from WUSF
- “Hurricane Helene Response” from US Army Corps of Engineers
- “Assessment of Agricultural Losses Resulting from Hurricane Milton” from University of Florida IFAS
- “Disaster and insurance costs are rising. The middle class is struggling to hang on” from NPR
- “Sorting trash can be dirty and dangerous. Sounds like a job for AI” from Marketplace
- “Disney comes to Sora: What you can and can't do with the characters” from Axios
- “How fruitcake became a Christmas classic (even if it’s unpopular)” from MSN
- “City life is reshaping raccoons – and may be nudging them toward domestication” from The Guardian
