More or Less: Behind the Stats - Exclusions, black holes and dividing by zero

Do half of children in Wales have special educational needs? Are permanent exclusions at the highest ever level in England? Labour are talking about a ?22bn black hole. Is that a new black hole in the finances? Are there more Ghanaian nurses in the UK than in Ghana? Can you divide one by zero?

Tim Harford looks at some of the numbers in the news.

Presenter: Tim Harford Reporters: Kate Lamble and Nathan Gower Producer: Beth Ashmead Latham Series producer: Tom Colls Production co-ordinator: Katie Morrison Sound mix: Andy Fell Editor: Richard Vadon

NBN Book of the Day - E. J. Fagan, “The Thinkers: The Rise of Partisan Think Tanks and the Polarization of American Politics” (Oxford UP, 2024)

Political Scientist E.J. Fagan, an Assistant Professor of Political Science at the University of Illinois at Chicago, once worked at a think tank, and has long been interested in the intersecting work of think tanks and politics. Thus, The Thinkers: The Rise of Partisan Think Tanks and the Polarization of American Politics (Oxford UP, 2024) is an outgrowth of Fagan’s academic research and experience. Think tanks, by their very nature, are generally creating information, knowledge, policy ideas, and the like, with the intention of influencing the policy that is made by elected officials. Those who work at think tanks are generally experts in particular policy areas, and they produce information. Think tanks are not academic institutions, and they are not part of political parties either. They are private organizations that can have policy influence on parties, candidates, and policy development. In The Thinkers, Fagan pays close attention to four think tanks that he explains are the most partisan among the hundreds of think tanks: the Heritage Foundation, the American Enterprise Institute (AEI), the Center for American Progress, and the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities. There are many other think tanks, and Fagan explains that these four have had the most direct engagement in developing policy that is then taken up by elected officials (members of the U.S. House, the U.S. Senate, the president and White House advisors, as well as governors and state-level elected officials.)

The Thinkers: The Rise of Partisan Think Tanks and the Polarization of American Politics assesses the role of think tanks within partisan politics and the connections between these organizations and the policy outcomes we often see in presidential administrations and in Congress. The book also highlights a significant finding, that the rise of think tanks has contributed to the polarization within American politics. Fagan has the data to support this finding, noting that the increased influence of the think tanks, the issue areas where they are directing their work and research, and the increased polarization over the past few decades. The Thinkers teases out the connection between lawmakers and neutral experts—who tend to be academics doing research at colleges and universities, and those working at think tanks, who have interpolated between these two groups. This is an important part of the research on think tanks and how they operate, especially the think tanks that are more partisan and working closely to influence policy outcomes. Given the current focus on the Heritage Foundation’s Project 2025, we also discussed how this is an example of the way that the more partisan think tanks engage in the policy development process, and how they hope to influence politicians and elected officials. The Thinkers is a fascinating study of American think tanks and their role and place within our political system.

Lilly J. Goren is a professor of political science at Carroll University in Waukesha, WI. She is co-host of the New Books in Political Science channel at the New Books Network. She is co-editor of The Politics of the Marvel Cinematic Universe (University Press of Kansas, 2022), as well as co-editor of the award winning book, Women and the White House: Gender, Popular Culture, and Presidential Politics (University Press of Kentucky, 2012). She can be reached @gorenlj.bsky.social

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Everything Everywhere Daily - The Donner Party (Encore)

In the Spring of 1846, a group of intrepid pioneers set out from Independence, Missouri, to cross the Oregon Trail to seek a better life in the fertile Oregon Territory. 

However, almost nothing went according to plan for this group. They got a late start, took a devastating wrong turn, and were delayed by many natural obstacles. 

They ended up being stuck in the mountains during the winter in one of the more horrific episodes in the history of the American West. 

Learn more about the Donner Party, what went wrong, and their horrific fate on this episode of Everything Everywhere Daily.


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The NewsWorthy - Campus Protests Return, 100 Degrees for 100 Days & NFL Promotes Swift- Wednesday, September 4, 2024

The news to know for Wednesday, September 4, 2024!

We're telling you about some of Russia's most destructive strikes on Ukraine since the war began, and about the new U.S. charges against top Hamas leaders. 

Also, protests are starting up again on American college campuses.

Plus, millions of Americans are in the grips of another heatwave, a viral banking hack seems to have gotten Chase customers to do something illegal, and Taylor Swift has a big role in the newest NFL promo.

Those stories and even more news to know in just over 10 minutes! 

 

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The Best One Yet - 👋 “We quit your job” — Exit’s job-quitting concierge. Dick’s Sporting Goods’ kids app. 1-BR apt in NYC: $4,500/month.

Japanese startup Exit will quit your job for you… because every job has a “hidden severance”.

Dick’s Sporting Goods stock is up 600% in 5 years… but its secret is a high school sports app.

Rent for a 1-bedroom New York City apartment is up 13% to a record $4,500/month… but Austin’s rent is down (we’ll tell ya why).

Plus, the big new back-to-school trend is “Dorm Interior Designers”... $10K to decorate a dorm.


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Short Wave - Feeling Itchy? Air Pollution Might Be Making It Worse

Short Wave producer Hannah Chinn has adult-onset eczema. They're not the only one. Up to ten percent of people in the United States have it, according to the National Eczema Association — and its prevalence is increasing. Despite its ubiquity, a lot about this skin condition remains a mystery.
So today, Hannah's getting answers. They sat down with Raj Fadadu, a dermatologist at UC San Diego, to ask: What is eczema? What triggers it in the first place? And might climate change make it worse sometimes?

If you liked this episode, check out our episode on the science of itchiness. Also, follow us! That way you never miss another Short Wave episode.

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Hayek Program Podcast - Nathan Goodman and Anthony Gregory on “New Deal Law and Order”

On this episode of the Hayek Program Podcast, Nathan Goodman chats with Anthony Gregory on his latest book, New Deal Law and Order: How the War on Crime Built the Modern Liberal State. Most Americans remember the New Deal as the crucible of modern liberalism. But while it is most closely associated with Roosevelt’s efforts to end the Depression and provide social security for the elderly, we have failed to acknowledge one of its most enduring legacies: its war on crime. The book reassesses the political importance of the 1930s by highlighting the general crisis of lawlessness, arguing that the Roosevelt administration’s criminal justice policies transformed liberalism and the constitutional order. They also helped legitimate government itself, transcending the institutional, jurisdictional, partisan, racial, and social divisions that had previously frustrated national enforcement authority.

Anthony Gregory is a Hoover Fellow at the Hoover Institution on War, Revolution, and Peace at Stanford University. Anthony is a historian who has taught at the University of California, Berkeley, Brown University, and the Rhode Island School of Design, and he is the author of New Deal Law and Order: How the War on Crime Built the Modern Liberal State, The Power of Habeas Corpus in America: From the King’s Prerogative to the War on Terror, and American Surveillance: Intelligence, Privacy, and the Fourth Amendment.

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Song Exploder - Beabadoobee – Coming Home

Beabadoobee is an award-winning singer and songwriter from England who’s been releasing music since 2017. Her third album is called This Is How Tomorrow Moves. It came out in August 2024 and went to #1 on the UK charts. She made the album with her bandmate Jacob Bugden and with producer Rick Rubin at his studio, Shangri-La, in Malibu. And for this episode, I talked to Bea about a song from that album called “Coming Home.”

For more, visit songexploder.net/beabadoobee

What Next | Daily News and Analysis - Could Arlington Cost Trump Military Votes?

How much do military voters and their families care about Trump attempting a campaign stop at Arlington National Cemetery?


Guest: Leo Shane III, deputy editor for the Military Times.


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Podcast production by Elena Schwartz, Paige Osburn, Anna Phillips, Madeline Ducharme and Rob Gunther.


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