Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova - How to Win Bets and Influence Elections

Caroline Ellison, the second most important person who worked at FTX, was sentenced to prison this week. Nate and Maria talk about how she and Sam Bankman-Fried thought about making +EV bets (with other people’s money). They discuss her role – victim? villain? – and how she played out her real-life prisoner’s dilemma. Then, Nate gives an election update, and he and Maria discuss what people can do to influence the election in the final weeks. (Hint: It’s not donating to a presidential campaign.) Plus, Nate and Maria say farewell to two degenerate gamblers who passed away this week.

Further Reading:

Charity Navigator 

More on Betsy Paluck’s research 

Willy Nelson’s discography 

Dana Carvey’s Biden impression from SNL

For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters:

The Leap from Maria Konnikova

Silver Bulletin from Nate Silver 

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

array(3) { [0]=> string(184) "https://www.omnycontent.com/d/clips/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/951120d9-cf6e-4224-93d7-b15c014dcea5/06aee805-b1ef-4f21-a8a7-b1fe0013766f/image.jpg?t=1727919300&size=Large" [1]=> string(10) "image/jpeg" [2]=> int(0) }

CBS News Roundup - 10/02/2024 | World News Roundup Late Edition

New filing by special counsel in Trump election interference case alleges the former president "resorted to crimes" in bid to retain power. President Biden tours hurricane-ravaged Carolinas. Israel mulls next step following Iranian missile attacks. CBS News Correspondent Jennifer Keiper with tonight's World News Roundup.

To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Time To Say Goodbye - The Message by Ta-Nehisi Coates and What Writing is For with Jazmine Hughes

Hello!

Apologies for the slight delay in getting this episode out but we have a great show today with the writer Jazmine Hughes. We talk about Ta-Nehisi Coates’s new book about writing, the West Bank and his travels, the writer-as-activist-celebrity, and the strange and tangled relationship that we, as minority writers, have with prestige media outlets.

Enjoy!



This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit goodbye.substack.com/subscribe

Planet Money - How Venezuela imploded (update)

(Note: A version of this episode originally ran in 2016.)

Back in 2016, things were pretty bad in Venezuela. Grocery stores didn't have enough food. Hospitals didn't have basic supplies, like gauze. Child mortality was spiking. Businesses were shuttering. It's one of the epic economic collapses of our time. And it was totally avoidable.

Venezuela used to be a relatively rich country. It has just about all the economic advantages a country could ask for: Beautiful beaches and mountains ready for tourism, fertile land good for farming, an educated population, and oil, lots and lots of oil.

But during the boom years, the Venezuelan government made some choices that add up to an economic time bomb.

Today on the show, we have an economic horror story about a country that made all the wrong decisions with its oil money. It's a window into the fundamental way that money works and how when you try to control it, you can lose everything.

Then, an update on Venezuela today. How it went from a downward spiral, to a tentative economic stabilization... amidst political upheaval.

This original episode is hosted by Robert Smith and Noel King. It was produced by Nick Fountain and Sally Helm. Today's update was hosted by Amanda Aronczyk, produced by Sean Saldana, fact checked by Sierra Juarez, and engineered by Neal Rauch. Alex Goldmark is our Executive Producer.

Help support
Planet Money and hear our bonus episodes by subscribing to Planet Money+ in Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org/planetmoney.

Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoices

NPR Privacy Policy

The Gist - Knucklehead Of State

The stakes for debates are pretty low when the Vice Presidency is the office in question, but J.D. Vance seems to have said better sounding words than Tim Walz, according to most reactions. Putting in a word for Walz—or at least a warning against Vance—is our guest Democratic strategist and analyst Jess McIntosh, who is here to assess the Vice Presidential debate. Plus, a dock strike could jeopardize goods across America. Turns out, dockworkers earn on average more than $150k a year at the East Coast's biggest port, and they also hold most of the cards in this negotiation.


Produced by Joel Patterson and Corey Wara

Email us at thegist@mikepesca.com

To advertise on the show, visit: https://advertisecast.com/TheGist

Subscribe to The Gist Subscribe: https://subscribe.mikepesca.com/

Follow Mikes Substack at: Pesca Profundities | Mike Pesca | Substack

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The Indicator from Planet Money - Are we about to lose TikTok? Like actually tho?

TikTok could begin shutting down in the U.S. as soon as January 19 of next year. But the app is not going down without a fight. The company is asking a panel of federal judges to block the law in a high-profile case that pits free speech versus national security. Today on the show, how TikTok got to this point and what we can expect from the app's last ditch effort to stay alive in the U.S.

Related episodes:
Tick tock for TikTok? (Apple / Spotify)
Is Project Texas enough to save TikTok? (Apple / Spotify)

For sponsor-free episodes of The Indicator from Planet Money, subscribe to Planet Money+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org.

Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoices

NPR Privacy Policy

Lost Debate - The Bipartisan War on Free Speech

Ravi welcomes Greg Lukianoff, President and CEO of FIRE, to discuss the organization's latest report assessing colleges on their commitment to free speech.

They also cover the recent pro-Palestine protests on college campuses, the wave of university president resignations, and the complex challenges facing higher education today. Ravi and Greg explore the tension between activism and academic rigor, the evolving role of leadership, and the need for political diversity within university faculties. They then highlight new approaches that are encouraging open dialogue and share why they remain cautiously optimistic about the future of free speech in academia.

Finally, Ravi and Greg address how free speech issues continue to unfold across the political spectrum and why both the right and the left have fallen short in defending this fundamental right.


Leave us a voicemail with your thoughts on the show! 321-200-0570

---

Follow Ravi at @ravimgupta

Follow The Branch at @thebranchmedia

Notes from this episode are available on Substack: https://thelostdebate.substack.com/

Lost Debate is available on the following platforms: 

• Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-lost-debate/id1591300785

• Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/7xR9pch9DrQDiZfGB5oF0F

• YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@ravimgupta

• Google: https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly9mZWVkcy5tZWdhcGhvbmUuZm0vTERJNTc1ODE3Mzk3Nw 

• iHeart: https://www.iheart.com/podcast/269-the-lost-debate-88330217/

• Amazon Music: https://music.amazon.co.uk/podcasts/752ca262-2801-466d-9654-2024de72bd1f/the-lost-debate

The Daily Signal - Vance Factchecks Factcheckers, Israeli Soldiers Killed in Lebanon, Biden Visits Carolinas | Oct. 2

TOP NEWS | On today’s Daily Signal Top News, we break down:


  • Vice Presidential Nominee JD Vance fact checked the moderators in last night’s debate.
  • Israel’s military announces that eight of its soldiers were killed fighting against Hezbollah in Lebanon. 
  • President Joe Biden travels to North and South Carolina as the death toll from Hurricane Helene reaches at least 166. 
  • Vice President Kamala Harris is criticized for her response to Hurricane Helene. 



Relevant Links

https://www.dailysignal.com/2024/10/02/vance-delivers-a-masterclass-in-how-to-deal-with-biased-moderators/ https://www.dailysignal.com/2024/10/01/fact-checking-claims-made-in-vance-walz-debate/


Listen to other podcasts from The Daily Signal: https://www.dailysignal.com/podcasts/

Get daily conservative news you can trust from our Morning Bell newsletter: DailySignal.com/morningbellsubscription

 

Listen to more Heritage podcasts: https://www.heritage.org/podcasts

Sign up for The Agenda newsletter — the lowdown on top issues conservatives need to know about each week: https://www.heritage.org/agenda

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Federalist Radio Hour - ‘You’re Wrong’ With Mollie Hemingway And David Harsanyi, Ep. 117: VP Debate

Do vice presidential debates matter much? Join Federalist Editor-in-Chief Mollie Hemingway and Washington Examiner Senior Writer David Harsanyi as they break down the performances of Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, Ohio Sen. J.D. Vance, and the corporate media moderators during their first 2024 faceoff; discuss the Biden-Harris administration's response (or lack thereof) to the devastation wreaked by Hurricane Helene; and analyze Iran's recent missile attack on Israel. Mollie and David also share their TV and movie picks for the week including "Bye Bye Birdie," "Nobody Wants This," the new season of "Slow Horses," "Hostiles," and "3:10 To Yuma."
 
Pre-order David's book The Rise of BlueAnon: How the Democrats Became a Party of Conspiracy Theorists here
 
If you care about combatting the corrupt media that continue to inflict devastating damage, please give a gift to help The Federalist do the real journalism America needs.