Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova - Thinking Smart About Low-Probability Events

This week, Nate and Maria discuss the asteroid that had a 3% chance of colliding with Earth. That risk is now closer to 0%—but, what does this example reveal about how to consider extremely costly events that are fairly unlikely to come to pass?

Then, they touch on the latest World Series of Poker drama and challenge each other to a game of Roshambo.

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The Leap from Maria Konnikova

Silver Bulletin from Nate Silver 

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What Could Go Right? - What Could Go Right: New Episodes March 5th

Negative news can be overwhelming, but it's important to question whether it accurately reflects our world. Join "What Could Go Right?" to hear positive stories from various experts and challenge the negative narrative. Let's strive for a more balanced view of what's happening today.

Whether you need a change of perspective or change of heart, check out "What Could Go Right?" from The Progress Network, with Zachary Karabell and Emma Varvaloucas.


What Could Go Right? is produced by The Progress Network and The Podglomerate.

For transcripts, to join the newsletter, and for more information, visit: theprogressnetwork.org

Watch the podcast on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/theprogressnetwork

And follow us on X, Instagram, Facebook, TikTok: @progressntwrk

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CBS News Roundup - 02/26/2025 | World News Roundup Late Edition

A child in Texas has died following an outbreak of measles. The bodies of four Israeli hostages have been handed over to the Red Cross by Hamas while dozens of Palestinians are released from Israeli prison. President Trump says more job cuts will be coming for federal workers. CBS News Correspondent Jennifer Keiper with tonight's World News Roundup.

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The Gist - Chokepoints and Full Throated Screams

Edward Fishman, author of Chokepoints: American Power in the Age of Economic Warfare, joins to discuss how global trade vulnerabilities shape geopolitics. Plus Trump’s first cabinet meeting sets the stage for what’s to come. And in The Spiel, Mike examines Republican town halls across the country—are the viral outbursts truly representative, or is the media cherry-picking the most dramatic moments?


Produced by Corey Wara

Email us at thegist@mikepesca.com

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Bad Faith - Episode 452 – The People’s Mayor (w/ Zohran Mamdani)

Subscribe to Bad Faith on Patreon to instantly unlock our full premium episode library: http://patreon.com/badfaithpodcast

Can a DSA candidate running on free buses, free childcare, and a freeze on rent become mayor of New York City? Polling first among declared candidates, N.Y. State Assembly member Zohran Mamdani is no symbolic candidate. He's has a strategy to win and a commitment to left principles that has even disgruntled lefties like Brie saying things like "he's the real deal." In this episode, candidate Zohran talks Mayor Adams and his scandals, Andrew Cuomo's threats to enter the race, and the details behind that viral Valentine's Day ad.

Subscribe to Bad Faith on YouTube for video of this episode. Find Bad Faith on Twitter (@badfaithpod) and Instagram (@badfaithpod).

Produced by Armand Aviram.

Theme by Nick Thorburn (@nickfromislands).

The Bulwark Podcast - Ruben Gallego and Zerlina Maxwell: Make Them Own It

Republicans are aiming to gut Medicaid to pay for trillions in tax cuts for the richest of Americans, and they're trying to hide it. The Dems need to bring the DC conversation home—hold town halls everywhere, tell voters what would happen, especially in rural MAGA areas where hospitals and trauma centers will close. Meanwhile, Trump is turning chaos at the border into chaos in the streets by having ICE grab people who haven't even committed crimes to pump up his deportation numbers. Plus, Elon's insatiable and scandalous quest for more money, the Dems' evolving media strategy, and how to help maintain mental health during these stressful times. 

Sen. Ruben Gallego and Zerlina Maxwell join Tim Miller.
show notes
Zerlina's show on SiriusXM Progress Channel 127
Zerlina's new Substack
Will Selber's piece that Tim referenced