Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova - What Democrats Should Take from No Kings Protests

Over the weekend, some 5 million people across the United States marched in ‘No Kings’ protests. Nate and Maria sit down to talk about why this matters, the psychology of protests, and how Democratic strategists can build on the momentum going forward.


For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters:

The Leap from Maria Konnikova

Silver Bulletin from Nate Silver 

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

array(3) { [0]=> string(184) "https://www.omnycontent.com/d/clips/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/951120d9-cf6e-4224-93d7-b15c014dcea5/8362f89b-9bdc-4639-81ba-b37d0166d805/image.jpg?t=1761083786&size=Large" [1]=> string(10) "image/jpeg" [2]=> int(0) }

Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova - What the Nobels Tell Us About the World Right Now

The 2025 Nobel Prizes have now been announced, and Maria convinces Nate to learn about the winners. They discuss the selection process, the economic award for research on “creative destruction,” and what prizes they should be considered for.


For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters:

The Leap from Maria Konnikova

Silver Bulletin from Nate Silver 

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

array(3) { [0]=> string(184) "https://www.omnycontent.com/d/clips/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/951120d9-cf6e-4224-93d7-b15c014dcea5/e879c30d-fd2a-49a4-89a6-b37900f776cc/image.jpg?t=1760714957&size=Large" [1]=> string(10) "image/jpeg" [2]=> int(0) }

Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova - Good Call/Bad Call: Bari Weiss as CBS’s New Editor-in-Chief

Last week, Paramount bought digital news site The Free Press for $150 million, and made one of its founders, Bari Weiss, the new editor-in-chief of CBS. Everyone has opinions on Weiss…and so do Nate and Maria. They debate whether Weiss has the expertise to be editor-in-chief of a TV network, discuss what her appointment says about Paramount CEO David Ellison’s vision for the company, and judge whether this was a good or a bad call.


For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters:

The Leap from Maria Konnikova

Silver Bulletin from Nate Silver 

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

array(3) { [0]=> string(184) "https://www.omnycontent.com/d/clips/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/951120d9-cf6e-4224-93d7-b15c014dcea5/5be29c3f-7136-4bb7-9e2b-b377000c9015/image.jpg?t=1760490019&size=Large" [1]=> string(10) "image/jpeg" [2]=> int(0) }

Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova - Adam McKay is Still Angry About 2008 from Against the Rules: The Big Short Companion

When Adam McKay decided to make a movie based on The Big Short, he was mainly known for his comedies. But he managed to get a bevy of star actors — among them Ryan Gosling, Brad Pitt, Steve Carell and Margot Robbie — to sign on and bring the intensity and arcane financial jargon of Wall Street to life. Michael Lewis sits down with McKay a decade after he made the Oscar-winning movie version of The Big Short to learn about the challenges of getting the film made — and why he’s still making movies about societal collapse.

Pre-order The Big Short audiobook, now narrated by Michael Lewis, on Audible, Spotify, Apple Bookspushkin.fm/bigshort or wherever you get audiobooks.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

array(3) { [0]=> string(184) "https://www.omnycontent.com/d/clips/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/f4e26994-3ddb-4ec7-b855-ae32006cd5de/66f561fd-c95a-49f1-a075-b372014d2c67/image.jpg?t=1760127826&size=Large" [1]=> string(10) "image/jpeg" [2]=> int(0) }

Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova - What Jane Goodall Teaches Us About Outsider Thought

Pioneering primatologist and anthropologist Jane Goodall died last week at 91. Nate and Maria talk about Jane’s career path and how her research influenced the fields of both animal and human cognition. They also discuss the significance of the outsider status she held when she began her research, and what everyone can learn from outsiders.


For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters:

The Leap from Maria Konnikova

Silver Bulletin from Nate Silver 

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

array(3) { [0]=> string(184) "https://www.omnycontent.com/d/clips/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/951120d9-cf6e-4224-93d7-b15c014dcea5/d7c9cd55-6bc9-4895-89bb-b37201887351/image.jpg?t=1760140692&size=Large" [1]=> string(10) "image/jpeg" [2]=> int(0) }

Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova - With Sora 2, We’re Climbing Higher on the Dystopia Scale

Nate and Maria discuss how and when the government shutdown is most likely to end. Then, they turn to OpenAI’s newest release: Sora 2, an AI video generation app that allows users to create a video from a text prompt. As Maria struggles to think of some possible positive uses for this app, Nate considers what its release tells us about Open AI's goals for the future.

From The Information: Why OpenAI Offered to Pay $500 Million For A Startup With Videogame Data


For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters:

The Leap from Maria Konnikova

Silver Bulletin from Nate Silver 

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

array(3) { [0]=> string(184) "https://www.omnycontent.com/d/clips/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/951120d9-cf6e-4224-93d7-b15c014dcea5/f944bc29-b612-44b2-a506-b36f01596eff/image.jpg?t=1759871023&size=Large" [1]=> string(10) "image/jpeg" [2]=> int(0) }

Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova - Sleep, Track, Don’t Multitask: How To Succeed In Online Poker

Nate and Maria discuss their favorite topic: poker! In this episode, they dive into the nuanced strategy of online poker: how to manage your schedule, how to prioritize information, and whether quantity trumps quality as you strive to improve.

For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters:

The Leap from Maria Konnikova

Silver Bulletin from Nate Silver 

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

array(3) { [0]=> string(184) "https://www.omnycontent.com/d/clips/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/951120d9-cf6e-4224-93d7-b15c014dcea5/ef7285d4-9d49-43c2-968b-b36c0109e7ea/image.jpg?t=1759594362&size=Large" [1]=> string(10) "image/jpeg" [2]=> int(0) }

Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova - Will Eric Adams’s Exit Change the NYC Mayoral Election?

Eric Adams is out of the NYC mayoral race! Nate and Maria discuss his tenure as mayor, the timing of his announcement, and what this means for the remaining candidates. And — because it can be hard to remember a time before his multiple scandals and single-digit polling — they talk about the enthusiasm that once surrounded Adams, and what that arc says about the Democratic leadership vacuum. (And yes, they talk about Nate’s tweet).

For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters:

The Leap from Maria Konnikova

Silver Bulletin from Nate Silver 

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

array(3) { [0]=> string(184) "https://www.omnycontent.com/d/clips/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/951120d9-cf6e-4224-93d7-b15c014dcea5/5981fac5-556d-4e1e-aa69-b369001d2af8/image.jpg?t=1759283736&size=Large" [1]=> string(10) "image/jpeg" [2]=> int(0) }

Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova - Did the LA Clippers Take a Page from the Mob?

The NBA is investigating the LA Clippers and team owner Steve Ballmer over allegations that star player Kawhi Leonard accepted a $28 million endorsement as a way to get around the league’s salary cap. The endorsement deal was with the now-defunct sustainable banking company Aspiration—a company in which Ballmer has invested. Nate and Maria talk about whether Ballmer tried to take a page out of the mob playbook, and how the league could deter this kind of behavior in the future. 

Plus: Nate and Maria discuss a report from the Citizens Budget Commission that claims that New York’s share of millionaires is falling—and with it, the potential for revenue generation from taxes.

Further Reading:

From Pablo Torre Finds OutKawhi Leonard Signed a Secret $28M Deal. Steve Ballmer Funded a Fraud. We Followed the Money.

Citizens Budget Commission Report: The Hidden Cost of New York’s Shrinking Millionaire Share 

From the New York TimesNew York Needs More Millionaires, Fiscal Watchdog Says

For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters:

The Leap from Maria Konnikova

Silver Bulletin from Nate Silver 

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

array(3) { [0]=> string(184) "https://www.omnycontent.com/d/clips/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/951120d9-cf6e-4224-93d7-b15c014dcea5/9b82e8a5-7d46-4e8a-93a0-b364013c9eb3/image.jpg?t=1758918042&size=Large" [1]=> string(10) "image/jpeg" [2]=> int(0) }

Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova - Presidents Have Tried To Censor the Media Before…and It Backfired

Disney briefly pulled Jimmy Kimmel off the air last week for comments he made about Charlie Kirk’s alleged killer, after FCC Chair Brendan Carr threatened action against Disney and ABC. But this is not the first time the government has tried to censor the media: Maria walks us through a brief history of presidents trying to limit what the press says. Then, Nate and Maria discuss whether cancel culture led us to this particular moment.

Read Nate’s newsletter post, The political mood feels like 9/11 again


For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters:

The Leap from Maria Konnikova

Silver Bulletin from Nate Silver

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

array(3) { [0]=> string(184) "https://www.omnycontent.com/d/clips/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/951120d9-cf6e-4224-93d7-b15c014dcea5/804c8327-d34f-4f66-92c6-b361015d16d2/image.jpg?t=1758662416&size=Large" [1]=> string(10) "image/jpeg" [2]=> int(0) }