Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova - What Should Colleges Do about ChatGPT?

Nate and Maria revisit their conclave predictions, and discuss Maria’s recent win in Monte Carlo. Then the talk about college students’ rampant use of ChatGPT to cheat on assignments, and how colleges and professors might be able to catch up.

Further Reading:

From New York Magazine: Everyone Is Cheating Their Way Through College

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Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova - Life After Poker (with Vanessa Selbst)

Nate and Maria interview former professional poker player Vanessa Selbst—the only woman ever to reach the number one ranking on the Global Poker Index. They discuss her experiences playing poker and her move into the world of finance (she now works for Jane Street Capital). They also discuss why, at her first job in finance, she kept a giant bag of pennies underneath her desk.

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Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova - The Conclave, Sinners, and Negotiation Tips

The next pope will be chosen through a ritualized process involving secret ballots, smoke signals, and a lock-in at the Sistine Chapel. Nate and Maria talk about how the papal conclave works, and what it has to teach us about group decision-making and the dynamics of secrecy. They also discuss the studio deal for the new movie Sinners, and share their own top negotiating tips. Plus, they play a game of Would You Rather.

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Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova - The Right (And Wrong) Ways to Fight Trump

This week, Nate and Maria talk about the Trump administration’s deportation of Kilmar Abrego Garcia without due process. The stakes are high–but immigration is a stronger issue for Trump in the court of public opinion than tariffs were. Picking a fight with Harvard may also be good politics for the administration. So: how should Democrats, and other anti-Trump forces, respond?

Further Reading:

What if There’s No Way to Stop Trump’s Approach to Power? from Ross Douthat at the New York Times

Nate’s Silver Bulletin post about the Kilmar Abrego Garcia case

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Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova - Will AI Radically Change the World by 2027?

This week, Nate and Maria discuss AI 2027, a new report from the AI Futures Project that lays out some pretty doom-y scenarios for our near-term AI future. They talk about how likely humans are to be misled by rogue AI, and whether current conflicts between the US and China will affect the way this all unfolds. Plus, Nate talks about the feedback he gave the AI 2027 writers after reading an early draft of their forecast, and reveals what he sees as the report’s central flaw.

The AI Futures Project’s AI 2027 scenario: https://ai-2027.com/

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Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova - Tariffs, Tariffs, Tariffs

Nate and Maria discuss Trump’s latest round of tariffs. What is the strategy here, if any? What should other decision-makers – like Elon Musk or the United States’ Congress – do to intervene? And how should the average American react?

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Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova - The Ivy League Bows to Trump, Plus Protecting Your Genetic Data and Your Time

This week – after a quick check in on their March Madness brackets – Nate and Maria discuss Trump’s showdown with the Ivy League. Should schools like Harvard and Columbia do more to stand up to the President’s demands?

Then they turn to 23andMe, which has declared bankruptcy. They discuss privacy and whether it’s okay to swap your biometric data for more convenience at the airport.

Last but not least, they tackle the question of how to properly value your time.

Further Reading:

Kashmir Hill’s Your Face Belongs To Us 

Sendhil Mullianathan’s research on time poverty 

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The Leap from Maria Konnikova

Silver Bulletin from Nate Silver 


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Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova - Group Chat Protocols, Bracket Updates, and thoughts on the WNBA

This week, Nate and Maria discuss The Atlantic’s bombshell report about how its top editor was added to a national security group chat, and get into why the most major security risk is never technology–it’s always people. Then, they give an update on their March Madness bracket contest, and try to figure out why on earth players have to wait until they’re 22 to join the WNBA.

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Silver Bulletin from Nate Silver 

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Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova - March Madness Bracket Extravaganza

This week, Nate and Maria talk college basketball. Nate explains how he made his recently-released March Madness model. Then, they compare their tournament brackets. Maria gets some help from Sacramento Kings GM Monte McNair, but also makes one bracket entirely based on vibes. Nate mostly sticks to his model, but makes a few surprising picks.

Check out Maria’s brackets here.

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Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova - China’s Best Moves, and How to React to a Dealer’s Mistake

Last week, Nate and Maria talked about the game theory of American diplomacy right now. This week, they look at it from the perspective of America’s biggest rival: China. How should China respond as the US turns away from the global stage? What new opportunities do they have?

Plus, both hosts weigh in on the poker controversy surrounding a recent big win… that was actually a loss.

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Silver Bulletin from Nate Silver 

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