The Indicator from Planet Money - Can the yield curve still predict recessions?

Two years ago, the yield curve inverted. That means short-term interest rates on Treasury bonds were unusually higher than long-term interest rates. When that's happened in the past, a recession has come. In fact, the inverted yield curve has predicted every recession since 1969 ... until now. Today, are we saying goodbye to the inverted yield curve's flawless record?

Related episodes:
The inverted yield curve is screaming RECESSION (Apple / Spotify)
Yield curve jitters
Two Yield Curve Indicators

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60 Songs That Explain the '90s - “In da Club”—50 Cent

Rob looks back at some of the greatest haters in the history of music in celebration of the legendary hater and rapper that is 50 Cent. Later, Rob guides us through the rise of 50 Cent in the early 2000s. Then, he’s joined by The Ringer’s Charles Holmes to discuss 50 Cent’s history of rap beefs and more!


Host: Rob Harvilla

Guest: Charles Holmes

Producers: Jonathan Kermah and Justin Sayles

Additional Production Support: Olivia Crerie

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More or Less: Behind the Stats - When are numbers like a horse at a gymkhana?

Can we teach BBC political editor Chris Mason some new maths skills? Do 60 of the UK?s richest people pay 100% tax? Have water bills fallen in real terms since 2010? When it comes to HPV and cervical cancer, is zero a small number?

Tim Harford investigates some of the numbers in the news.

Presenter: Tim Harford Producers: Nathan Gower and Bethan Ashmead Latham Series producer: Tom Colls Production co-ordinator: Katie Morrison Sound mix: Sarah Hockley Editor: Richard Vadon

The Indicator from Planet Money - Why are some nations richer?

This year's Economics Nobel went to a trio of researchers whose work focuses on the importance of strong institutions for an economy. Today we hear from the newly minted Nobel laureates about how they came to their groundbreaking conclusions.

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Cato Daily Podcast - Courts Grappling with Realities of Retaliatory Arrests

What makes an arrest retaliatory and what evidence ought to be up for consideration when courts decide if an arrest was, in fact, a retaliation? Thanks in part to a clarifying decision from the Supreme Court earlier this year, courts now must grapple more seriously with that question. Patrick Jaicomo of the Institute for Justice offers his thoughts.

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More or Less: Behind the Stats - Uncertainty, probability and double yoked eggs

Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter is one of the great communicators of probability and uncertainty.

His new book, The Art of Uncertainty, explains how to approach uncertainty, luck, probability and ignorance.

Tim Harford talks to Sir David about double yoked eggs, the Bay of Pigs, and his top tips for politicians who want to communicate evidence and uncertainty. Presenter: Tim Harford Series producer: Tom Colls Production co-ordinator: Katie Morrison Sound mix: John Scott Editor: Richard Vadon

The Indicator from Planet Money - The cost of living, lead pipe removal, and a more expensive Mega Millions

It's ... Indicators of the Week! It's that time of week when we look at the most fascinating economic numbers from the news.

On today's episode: Inflation slowly coming down, getting the lead out of water pipes, and a more expensive Mega Millions.

Related Episodes:
Lotteries And Happiness
Indicator exploder: jobs and inflation

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