RadCasts – Page 554 – my private podcast channel

June 14, 2025

CoinDesk Podcast Network - BITCOIN SEASON 2: All Your Bitcoin Models Are Broken (But Really)

Charlie and Colin demolish every popular Bitcoin price model - stock-to-flow, rainbow charts, power law, and Metcalfe's law. Why they're all wrong and what might actually work this cycle.

You're listening to Bitcoin Season 2. Subscribe to the newsletter, trusted by over 12,000 Bitcoiners: https://newsletter.blockspacemedia.com

Charlie and Colin break down every major Bitcoin price prediction model and explain why they're all fundamentally flawed. From Plan B's broken stock-to-flow to Giovanni's power law obsession, rainbow charts, and Metcalfe's law - we expose the problems with each approach and introduce Charlie's new "institutional structured bid corridor" theory for this cycle.

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NOTES:

• Stock-to-flow predicted $1M by 2025 - failed

• Rainbow chart undefeated since 2013

• Power law predicts $100K by 2028 latest

• Metcalfe's law broken by ETF adoption

• Hyper-bitcoinization chart shows $100B BTC

• Institutional money creating price channels

Timestamps:

00:00 Start

00:34 Price Models

02:09 Stock to Flow

10:48 Rainbow Chart

14:59 Arch Network

15:31 Power Law

21:40 Metcalfe's Law

28:03 Hyperbitcoinization Model

30:47 Institutional Structure Bid Corridor Model

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June 14, 2025

The NewsWorthy - Special Edition: Parade or Power Play? Politics of Army Celebration

A massive military parade is happening in the nation's capital today to mark the Army’s 250th anniversary — but it’s not without controversy.

From the timing and cost to the political context, we’re unpacking what this spectacle might really signal.

Today’s expert helps us explore the deeper meaning, historical comparisons, and how Americans might think about the military’s role in a democracy.

Join us again for our 10-minute daily news roundups every Mon-Fri!

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This episode is sponsored by

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#army #military #armyparade #trump

June 14, 2025

The Best One Yet - 🧸 Beanie Babies: The Cutest Boom, Bubble & Bust

Subscribe to The Best Idea Yet here: https://wondery.com/links/the-best-idea-yet/

Beanie Babies — the unassuming critters with birthdates and bios — are designed to tug on your heartstrings (and your wallet). But for a moment in the late-90s, they burst out of gift shops and into investment portfolios as America went crazy over Legs the Frog, Pinchers the Lobster, and the rest of the plushie pals.Behind this bean-stuffed market bubble hid a mysterious salesman with a chip on his shoulder named Ty Warner (the P.T. Barnum of Plush), who masterminded limited drops, direct-to-retail strategies, and internet virality before any of those things had names.

With plastic pellets and perceived scarcity, Ty built an empire worth billions that stands to this day. But there wasn't such a happy ending for most speculators when the market turned from (Snort the) bull to (Brownie the) bear, wiping out millions.

Find out how Beanie Babies helped launch eBay, why you should never trade your Bucky the Beaver for a cupcake, and why Beanie Babies is the best idea yet.

Subscribe to The Best Idea Yet for the untold origin stories of the products you’re obsessed with — and the bold risk takers who made them go viral.

Episodes drop every Tuesday, listen here: https://wondery.com/links/the-best-idea-yet/

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June 14, 2025

CBS News Roundup - 06/14/2025 | Weekend Roundup

On the "CBS News Weekend Roundup", host Allison Keyes gets the latest on the conflict between Israel and Iran as the two attack each other in a conflict raising the potential for an all-out war from Correspondent Robert Berger. We'll hear from CBS's Ash-har Quaraishi on whether and when children should get credit cards. In the "Kaleidoscope with Allison Keyes" segment, a discussion about what hundreds of billions of cuts to the SNAP program could mean for hunger in the nation.

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June 14, 2025

Ologies with Alie Ward - Bonus Episode: THE U.S. CONSTITUTION. Let’s read it together.

Have you ever read every word of The U.S. Constitution? You don't have to, because I read it with my mouth into your brain in this weird but vital episode on civil liberties. And of course, there are little sidenotes to make sure we both understand it. There has never been a better time to know what your legal protections are.

This episode is a follow up to Nomology (CONSTITUTIONAL LAW) with the legendary law scholar Franita Tolson, the Dean and Carl Mason Franklin Chair in Law USC’s Gould School of Law. Start there for the basics and learn why knowing your rights and using your voice can change the future.

Be safe. Stick up for yourself, and each other.

Listen to our 2019 episode: Nomology (THE CONSTITUTION) with Franita Tolson

A donation went to the American Civil Liberties Union

Amicus With Dahlia Lithwick | Law, justice, and the courts - Tanks On DC’s Streets And A US Senator In Handcuffs

America feels very different this weekend. While the president’s planned military parade (that just happens to coincide with his birthday) will see tanks and armored vehicles rolling through Washington DC, federalized National Guard and US Marines have been deployed to Los Angeles over the objections of state and city electeds, many of us are reeling from seeing a sitting US Senator forced to the floor and cuffed for trying to ask a question, and dozens of protests are planned around the country to declare “No Kings”. It’s. A. Lot. In this episode of Amicus Dahlia Lithwick is joined by Mark Joseph Stern to try to process some of the events of the last week, and to understand where the law stands on the key question of whether President Trump lawfully deployed troops quell anti-ICE raid protests in California that the administration is trying to claim are a “rebellion”.

This is part of Opinionpalooza, Slate’s coverage of the major decisions from the Supreme Court this June. The best way to support our work is by joining Slate Plus. (If you are already a member, consider a donation or merch!)Also! Sign up for Slate’s Legal Brief: the latest coverage of the courts and the law straight to your inbox. Delivered every Tuesday.

Want more Amicus? Join Slate Plus to unlock weekly bonus episodes with exclusive legal analysis. Plus, you’ll access ad-free listening across all your favorite Slate podcasts. You can subscribe directly from the Amicus show page on Apple Podcasts and Spotify. Or, visit slate.com/amicusplus to get access wherever you listen.

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June 14, 2025

More or Less: Behind the Stats - Could you be hit by a falling satellite?

The number of satellites orbiting our planet has been rapidly increasing in recent years. But what are the risks when they start falling back down to earth?

The European Space agency estimate that by 2030 there will be 100,000 satellites in orbit. We look at whether that estimate is realistic and what it means for those of us living on the ground below, with the help of Jonathan McDowell and Fionagh Thomson. Presenter: Tim Harford Producer: Lizzy McNeill Series Producer: Tom Colls Production co-ordinator: Brenda Brown Editor: Richard Vadon Studio Manager: James Beard

June 14, 2025

It Could Happen Here - It Could Happen Here Weekly 186

All of this week's episodes of It Could Happen Here put together in one large file.

Reportback from the West Bank
The LA Anti-ICE Protests
Migrant Detention in Libya
On The Ground In LA
Executive Disorder: White House Weekly #20

You can now listen to all Cool Zone Media shows, 100% ad-free through the Cooler Zone Media subscription, available exclusively on Apple Podcasts. So, open your Apple Podcasts app, search for “Cooler Zone Media” and subscribe today!

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Sources/Links:

The LA Anti-ICE Protests

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/jun/09/democrats-california-new-york-detention-facilities

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/immigrants-at-ice-check-ins-detained-and-held-in-basement-of-federal-building-in-los-angeles/?ftag=CNM-00-10aab7e&linkId=828415694

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/california-los-angeles-immigration-protests-trump/

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/live-blog/paramount-california-home-depot-protest-rcna211650

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c1kv1lgdpkjo

Migrant Detention in Libya

https://missingmigrants.iom.int/region/mediterranean  https://www.infomigrants.net/en/post/61570/libyas-coast-guard-has-intercepted-and-returned-nearly-21000-migrants-in-2024

https://apnews.com/article/italy-libya-ossama-almasri-icc-arrest-hague-305b5eed193ef7774e6591d4f0a256fc   

European Commission Financial Transparency System Andrea Beck, 2024

Italian and EU Funding of the Libyan Coast Guard: How Italian External Border Immigration Policies Have Created Crimes Against Humanity, Public Ignorance, and Legal Accountability Issues

Ronald Bruce. Libya: From Colony to Revolution

Ship of Humanity: Witness to Rescue in the Mediterranean by Judith Sunderland

Capitivity, Migration and Power in Libya. Nadia Al-Dayel, Aaron Anfinson & Graeme Anfinson 2021.

Tilley: War Making and State Making as organized crime

Executive Disorder: White House Weekly #20

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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June 14, 2025

The World in Brief from The Economist - Iran retaliates against Israel’s strike, and more

Markets fell on Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average, a stock index, closing down by 1.8%

June 14, 2025

Planet Money - Why I joined DOGE

What was it like to work inside Elon Musk's DOGE? The cost-cutting initiative promised transparency, but most of its actions have been shrouded in secrecy.

For months, there were reports of software engineers and Trump loyalists entering agencies and accessing sensitive data. DOGE also helped the Trump administration lay off thousands of government workers. NPR reporters have been trying for months to get anyone from DOGE to talk on the record. Now, Sahil Lavingia, a former DOGE staffer assigned to the Department of Veteran Affairs, is speaking.

Today, what drew Sahil to DOGE and what he learned about the inner workings, in a way we've never heard before.

For more on DOGE and the federal workforce:
- The last time we shrank the federal workforce
- Can... we still trust the monthly jobs report?
- Can the Federal Reserve stay independent?

This episode was hosted by Kenny Malone and Bobby Allyn. It was produced by Sam Yellowhorse Kesler and Emma Peaslee. It was edited by Jess Jiang and fact-checked by Sierra Juarez. It was engineered by Neal Rauch. Alex Goldmark is Planet Money's executive producer.

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